{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}/Users/xpmiki/Dropbox/esaiasson/replicationData/e11.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res} 9 Sep 2016, 11:12:44
{txt}
{com}. clear 
{txt}
{com}. set more off
{txt}
{com}. use "symbols students.dta"
{txt}
{com}. 
. drop if expert == 1
{txt}(125 observations deleted)

{com}. 
. set seed  358395
{txt}
{com}. sem (d <-  t  wl p)(p <-  t  wl)  
{res}{txt}(1 observations with missing values excluded)

Endogenous variables

{p 0 11 2}Observed:{space 2}{res}d p{p_end}
{txt}
Exogenous variables

{p 0 11 2}Observed:{space 2}{res}t wl{p_end}
{txt}
Fitting target model:

Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-471.21389}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-471.21389}  

Structural equation model{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       274
{col 1}{txt}Estimation method{col 20}= {res}ml
{col 1}{txt}Log likelihood{col 20}= {res}-471.21389

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}      OIM
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}Structural  {col 14}{txt}{c |}
{space 2}{col 3}d <-      {col 14}{c |}
{space 11}p {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3941454{col 26}{space 2} .0551777{col 37}{space 1}    7.14{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2859992{col 67}{space 3} .5022916
{txt}{space 11}t {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0318912{col 26}{space 2} .0328696{col 37}{space 1}    0.97{col 46}{space 3}0.332{col 54}{space 4}-.0325321{col 67}{space 3} .0963145
{txt}{space 10}wl {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2078983{col 26}{space 2} .0371365{col 37}{space 1}    5.60{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1351121{col 67}{space 3} .2806845
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3544508{col 26}{space 2} .0331443{col 37}{space 1}   10.69{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2894892{col 67}{space 3} .4194124
{space 2}{txt}{hline 11}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}{col 3}p <-      {col 14}{c |}
{space 11}t {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1325301{col 26}{space 2}  .035086{col 37}{space 1}    3.78{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0637629{col 67}{space 3} .2012973
{txt}{space 10}wl {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3407445{col 26}{space 2} .0350635{col 37}{space 1}    9.72{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2720212{col 67}{space 3} .4094677
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .302888{col 26}{space 2} .0313375{col 37}{space 1}    9.67{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2414677{col 67}{space 3} .3643084
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
     var(e.d){c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0700659{col 26}{space 2} .0059861{col 54}{space 4}  .059263{col 67}{space 3} .0828381
{txt}     var(e.p){c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0839904{col 26}{space 2} .0071758{col 54}{space 4} .0710406{col 67}{space 3} .0993008
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
LR test of model vs. saturated: chi2({res:0})   = {res:     0.00}, Prob > chi2 = {res}     .
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       274{col 27}        .{col 38}-471.2139{col 49}     9{col 58} 960.4278{col 69} 992.9459
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. estat teffects 
{res}

{txt}Direct effects
{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}      OIM
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}Structural  {col 14}{txt}{c |}
{space 2}{col 3}d <-      {col 14}{c |}
{space 11}p {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3941454{col 26}{space 2} .0551777{col 37}{space 1}    7.14{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2859992{col 67}{space 3} .5022916
{txt}{space 11}t {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0318912{col 26}{space 2} .0328696{col 37}{space 1}    0.97{col 46}{space 3}0.332{col 54}{space 4}-.0325321{col 67}{space 3} .0963145
{txt}{space 10}wl {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2078983{col 26}{space 2} .0371365{col 37}{space 1}    5.60{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1351121{col 67}{space 3} .2806845
{space 2}{txt}{hline 11}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}{col 3}p <-      {col 14}{c |}
{space 11}t {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1325301{col 26}{space 2}  .035086{col 37}{space 1}    3.78{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0637629{col 67}{space 3} .2012973
{txt}{space 10}wl {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3407445{col 26}{space 2} .0350635{col 37}{space 1}    9.72{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2720212{col 67}{space 3} .4094677
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}


Indirect effects
{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}      OIM
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}Structural  {col 14}{txt}{c |}
{space 2}{col 3}d <-      {col 14}{c |}
{space 11}p {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}        0{col 26}{txt}  (no path)
{space 11}t {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0522361{col 26}{space 2} .0156434{col 37}{space 1}    3.34{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0215756{col 67}{space 3} .0828966
{txt}{space 10}wl {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1343029{col 26}{space 2} .0233343{col 37}{space 1}    5.76{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0885684{col 67}{space 3} .1800373
{space 2}{txt}{hline 11}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}{col 3}p <-      {col 14}{c |}
{space 11}t {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}        0{col 26}{txt}  (no path)
{space 10}wl {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}        0{col 26}{txt}  (no path)
{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}


Total effects
{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}      OIM
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}Structural  {col 14}{txt}{c |}
{space 2}{col 3}d <-      {col 14}{c |}
{space 11}p {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3941454{col 26}{space 2} .0551777{col 37}{space 1}    7.14{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2859992{col 67}{space 3} .5022916
{txt}{space 11}t {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0841273{col 26}{space 2} .0349024{col 37}{space 1}    2.41{col 46}{space 3}0.016{col 54}{space 4} .0157198{col 67}{space 3} .1525347
{txt}{space 10}wl {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3422012{col 26}{space 2} .0348801{col 37}{space 1}    9.81{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2738375{col 67}{space 3} .4105649
{space 2}{txt}{hline 11}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}{col 3}p <-      {col 14}{c |}
{space 11}t {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1325301{col 26}{space 2}  .035086{col 37}{space 1}    3.78{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0637629{col 67}{space 3} .2012973
{txt}{space 10}wl {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3407445{col 26}{space 2} .0350635{col 37}{space 1}    9.72{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2720212{col 67}{space 3} .4094677
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *** indirect and direct - winning/losing
. cap program drop indireff
{txt}
{com}. program indireff, rclass
{txt}  1{com}. sem (d <-  t  wl p)(p <-  t  wl)  
{txt}  2{com}.   estat teffects
{txt}  3{com}.   mat bi = r(indirect)
{txt}  4{com}.   mat bt = r(total)
{txt}  5{com}.   return scalar indir  = el(bi,1,3)
{txt}  6{com}.   return scalar total  = el(bt,1,3)
{txt}  7{com}. end 
{txt}
{com}. 
. set seed 358395
{txt}
{com}. bootstrap r(indir) r(total), reps(1000): indireff
{txt}(running indireff on estimation sample)

Bootstrap replications ({res}1000{txt})
{hline 4}{c +}{hline 3} 1 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 2 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 3 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 4 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 5 
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{res}
{txt}Bootstrap results{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       274
{txt}{col 49}Replications{col 67}= {res}     1,000
{p2colset 7 17 21 2}{...}

{txt}{p2col :command:}indireff{p_end}
{p2colset 9 17 21 2}{...}
{p2col :_bs_1:}{res:r(indir)}{p_end}
{p2colset 9 17 21 2}{...}
{p2col :_bs_2:}{res:r(total)}{p_end}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}   Observed{col 26}   Bootstrap{col 54}         Norm{col 67}al-based
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_bs_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1343029{col 26}{space 2} .0247148{col 37}{space 1}    5.43{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0858627{col 67}{space 3} .1827431
{txt}{space 7}_bs_2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3422012{col 26}{space 2} .0343179{col 37}{space 1}    9.97{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2749394{col 67}{space 3} .4094629
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. estat bootstrap, percentile bc  

{txt}Bootstrap results{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       274
{txt}{col 49}Replications{col 67}= {res}      1000
{p2colset 7 17 21 2}{...}

{txt}{p2col :command:}indireff{p_end}
{p2colset 9 17 21 2}{...}
{p2col :_bs_1:}{res:r(indir)}{p_end}
{p2colset 9 17 21 2}{...}
{p2col :_bs_2:}{res:r(total)}{p_end}

{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 12}{hline 11}{hline 13}{hline 12}{hline 10}{hline 6}
{col 14}{text}{c |}    Observed{col 38}    Bootstrap
{col 14}{text}{c |}       Coef.{col 27}       Bias{col 38}    Std. Err.{col 51}  [95% Conf. Interval]
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 12}{hline 11}{hline 13}{hline 12}{hline 10}{hline 6}
{col 1}{text}       _bs_1{col 14}{c |}{result}{space 2} .13430287{col 27}{space 2} .0003856{col 38}{space 2} .02471485{col 51}{space 2} .0888991{col 63}{space 1} .1863989{col 73}{text}   (P)
{col 14}{text}{c |}{col 51}{result}{space 2} .0900152{col 63}{space 1} .1890007{col 73}{text}  (BC)
{col 1}{text}       _bs_2{col 14}{c |}{result}{space 2} .34220119{col 27}{space 2}-.0025361{col 38}{space 2} .03431785{col 51}{space 2} .2701432{col 63}{space 1} .4049933{col 73}{text}   (P)
{col 14}{text}{c |}{col 51}{result}{space 2} .2790516{col 63}{space 1} .4144209{col 73}{text}  (BC)
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 12}{hline 11}{hline 13}{hline 12}{hline 10}{hline 6}
{col 0}(P){col 8}percentile confidence interval
{col 0}(BC){col 8}bias-corrected confidence interval

{com}. 
. *** indirect and direct - treatment
. cap program drop indireff
{txt}
{com}. program indireff, rclass
{txt}  1{com}. sem (d <- wl  t  p)(p <- wl  t )   
{txt}  2{com}.   estat teffects
{txt}  3{com}.   mat bi = r(indirect)
{txt}  4{com}.   mat bt = r(total)
{txt}  5{com}.   return scalar indirect  = el(bi,1,3)
{txt}  6{com}.   return scalar total  = el(bt,1,3)
{txt}  7{com}. end
{txt}
{com}. 
. set seed 358395
{txt}
{com}. bootstrap r(indirect) r(total), reps(1000): indireff
{txt}(running indireff on estimation sample)

Bootstrap replications ({res}1000{txt})
{hline 4}{c +}{hline 3} 1 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 2 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 3 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 4 {hline 3}{c +}{hline 3} 5 
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{res}
{txt}Bootstrap results{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       274
{txt}{col 49}Replications{col 67}= {res}     1,000
{p2colset 7 17 21 2}{...}

{txt}{p2col :command:}indireff{p_end}
{p2colset 9 17 21 2}{...}
{p2col :_bs_1:}{res:r(indirect)}{p_end}
{p2colset 9 17 21 2}{...}
{p2col :_bs_2:}{res:r(total)}{p_end}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}   Observed{col 26}   Bootstrap{col 54}         Norm{col 67}al-based
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_bs_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0522361{col 26}{space 2} .0159275{col 37}{space 1}    3.28{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0210188{col 67}{space 3} .0834535
{txt}{space 7}_bs_2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0841273{col 26}{space 2} .0347675{col 37}{space 1}    2.42{col 46}{space 3}0.016{col 54}{space 4} .0159843{col 67}{space 3} .1522703
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. estat bootstrap, percentile bc  

{txt}Bootstrap results{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       274
{txt}{col 49}Replications{col 67}= {res}      1000
{p2colset 7 17 21 2}{...}

{txt}{p2col :command:}indireff{p_end}
{p2colset 9 17 21 2}{...}
{p2col :_bs_1:}{res:r(indirect)}{p_end}
{p2colset 9 17 21 2}{...}
{p2col :_bs_2:}{res:r(total)}{p_end}

{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 12}{hline 11}{hline 13}{hline 12}{hline 10}{hline 6}
{col 14}{text}{c |}    Observed{col 38}    Bootstrap
{col 14}{text}{c |}       Coef.{col 27}       Bias{col 38}    Std. Err.{col 51}  [95% Conf. Interval]
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 12}{hline 11}{hline 13}{hline 12}{hline 10}{hline 6}
{col 1}{text}       _bs_1{col 14}{c |}{result}{space 2} .05223613{col 27}{space 2} .0007046{col 38}{space 2}  .0159275{col 51}{space 2} .0233921{col 63}{space 1} .0862771{col 73}{text}   (P)
{col 14}{text}{c |}{col 51}{result}{space 2} .0235072{col 63}{space 1} .0862771{col 73}{text}  (BC)
{col 1}{text}       _bs_2{col 14}{c |}{result}{space 2} .08412729{col 27}{space 2} .0013224{col 38}{space 2}  .0347675{col 51}{space 2} .0152228{col 63}{space 1} .1491778{col 73}{text}   (P)
{col 14}{text}{c |}{col 51}{result}{space 2} .0137193{col 63}{space 1}  .148882{col 73}{text}  (BC)
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 12}{hline 11}{hline 13}{hline 12}{hline 10}{hline 6}
{col 0}(P){col 8}percentile confidence interval
{col 0}(BC){col 8}bias-corrected confidence interval

{com}. 
. *** randomization check
. reg  t  gender interest ideology , robust

{txt}Linear regression                               Number of obs     = {res}       266
                                                {txt}F(3, 262)         =  {res}     1.50
                                                {txt}Prob > F          = {res}    0.2148
                                                {txt}R-squared         = {res}    0.0169
                                                {txt}Root MSE          =    {res} .49941

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}           t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}gender {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0033747{col 26}{space 2} .0621649{col 37}{space 1}   -0.05{col 46}{space 3}0.957{col 54}{space 4}-.1257811{col 67}{space 3} .1190317
{txt}{space 4}interest {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1287506{col 26}{space 2} .1007549{col 37}{space 1}   -1.28{col 46}{space 3}0.202{col 54}{space 4}-.3271431{col 67}{space 3} .0696418
{txt}{space 4}ideology {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2385525{col 26}{space 2} .1257614{col 37}{space 1}    1.90{col 46}{space 3}0.059{col 54}{space 4}-.0090792{col 67}{space 3} .4861841
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4455214{col 26}{space 2} .0818432{col 37}{space 1}    5.44{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2843674{col 67}{space 3} .6066755
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}/Users/xpmiki/Dropbox/esaiasson/replicationData/e11.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res} 9 Sep 2016, 11:14:35
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}